Marek Antosiewicz

economist

Marek Antosiewicz graduated in Mathematics from the University of Warsaw and in Economics from the Warsaw School of Economics. Since 2012, he has been a PhD student at the WSE Collegium of Economic Analysis. In his PhD thesis, he develops methods of solving heterogeneous-agent macroeconomic models and applies them in labour market analysis.

At the Institute for Structural Research, he is responsible for the construction of macroeconomic models used to analyse climate change mitigation and energy policies. Participated in both national and international research projects such as National Science Centre grants, consultancy for Polish Ministries, MAPS Chile, DYNAMIX or TRANSrisk.

interests

labour economics, economics of environmental change, heterogeneous macroeconomic models, multi-agent modelling

curriculum vitae - Marek Antosiewicz

News

Green growth opportunities for the decarbonization goal for Chile – report available!

energy and climate

2020-09-11

The Institute for Structural Research (IBS) cooperated with the Ministry of Finance in Chile and the World Bank to conduct an economic analysis of the costs of Chile’s new ambitious climate change mitigation plan which would ensure carbon neutrality of the country in 2050.

Risks associated with the decarbonisation of the Polish power system

energy and climate, events, projects

2018-11-30

Decarbonisation pathway will involve higher costs than the baseline pathway, but the electricity sector will emit half the CO2 by 2050. Read the key findings from the IBS report and seminar (28.11.).

Final TRANSrisk event

pro, energy and climate, projects

2018-11-16

On November 6, in Brussels, TRANSrisk consortium organised policy lunch entitled ‘Paris in Practice: Understanding the Risks and Uncertainties’.

Macroeconomic simulations for the Chilean economy

workshop, energy and climate

2018-08-29

At the TRANSrisk workshop in Santiago (Chile) Marek Antosiewicz gave a presentation about simulating the macroeconomic effects of climate change mitigation policies (24.08.).

IEW 2018 & CEF 2018

energy and climate, events

2018-07-09

What is the short and long run response of energy demand to price changes? Presentations of Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks and Marek Antosiewicz at IEW 2018 & CEF 2018 (19-21.06.).

WCERE 2018 & EMEE 2018

energy and climate, events

2018-07-06

Green innovation, economic growth and renewable energy sources were the topics of Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks and Marek Antosiewicz presentations at WCERE conference and EMEE workshop.

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Publications

2022-05-09 The economic effects of stopping Russian energy import in Poland.

Authors:

We estimate the macroeconomic and distributional effects that a ban on fuel imports from Russia would have in Poland. We simulate the embargo as a hike in oil, gas and coal prices, and evaluate the macroeconomic effects with a dynamic general equilibrium model. We soft-link ...

2020-07-22 The influence of the 2050 carbon neutrality scenarios on the labour market in Upper Silesia

Authors:

The assumptions made in the analyzes depend on decarbonisation scenarios. IBS experts are currently relying on unofficial decarbonisation, taking into account their limitations. As new data and official scenarios become available, IBS will update its mining employment forecasts. The analysis was based on data obtained ...

2020-07-02 Distributional effects of emission pricing in a carbon-intensive economy: the case of Poland

Authors:

Piotr Lewandowski

Marek Antosiewicz

Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks

J. Rodrigo Fuentes

working paper

In this paper, we assess the distributional impact of introducing a carbon tax in Poland. We apply a two- step simulation procedure. First, we evaluate the economy-wide effects with a dynamic general equilibrium model. Second, we use a microsimulation model based on household budget survey ...

2020-01-13 Short- and long-run dynamics of energy demand

Authors:

Marek Antosiewicz

Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks

working paper

The timing of the response of CO2 emissions to a carbon tax depends crucially on the timing of response of energy demand of changes in energy prices. In this paper, we investigate the path of changing energy demand from the moment of a change in ...

2018-11-28 Risks associated with the decarbonisation of the Polish power sector

Authors:

Marek Antosiewicz

Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks

Jakub Sawulski

Haris Doukas

Baiba Witajewska-Baltvilks

The Polish power sector currently stands at a crossroads, facing two alternative pathways. First, the decarbonisation pathway with radical CO2 emissions reduction, which involves a fast phase-down of coal. Second, the baseline pathway that abandons emission reduction targets, and involves a slow coal phase-down. Both ...

2018-10-25 Managing coal sector transition under the ambitious emission reduction scenario in Poland. Focus on labour

Authors:

Piotr Lewandowski

Marek Antosiewicz

Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks

Jan Baran

Aleksander Szpor

report

This report presents the main economic facts on the role of coal in the Polish economy, and analyses the implications of the transition away from coal for coal consumption and coal mining employment in Poland. Poland’s energy mix relies on coal, most of which is ...

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Projects

Distributional Impact of Carbon Pricing in Central and Eastern Europe

The project studies the effects of the increasing carbon costs in the EU on the economically vulnerable groups of final energy consumers. It focuses on four East-European EU member states (Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, and Romania) – with higher-than-EU-average levels of fossil fuels dependence in their economic systems, and higher-than-EU-average energy poverty levels.

Untangled

Our goal in UNTANGLED is to examine the impact of globalisation, technological transformations and demographic change on labour markets in the European Union, and to recommend policies that will contribute to shared prosperity.

Guidelines for the Upper Silesian Territorial Just Transition Plan

The aim of the project was to provide analytical support and recommendations helpful in preparation of the Territorial Just Transition Plan as well as other strategic documents supporting low-carbon development pathway in the Upper Silesia Region.

Labour market in the Śląskie Voivodeship and climate neutrality in 2050

The aim of the project is to assess the impact of achieving climate neutrality on the labour market in the Śląskie Voivodeship. A just transformation of the Silesia region is crucial for reducing emissions of the energy sector and minimizing the social costs of this process.

Modelling the Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies in Chile

This project, conducted between August 2019 and January 2020, will consist of updating the model of the Chilean economy and using it to assess the new set of mitigation policies the government aims to implement until 2030 – in order to meet the emission target set in the Nationally Determined Contributions.

System for forecasting the Polish labour market

The aim of the project is to develop a novel forecasting method for main labour market variables for Poland.

The effect of climate policies on labour market

The main objective of this research project is to better understand the impact of climate policies, in particular environmental taxes, on unemployment and wages.

TRANSrisk – Transitions pathways and risk analysis for climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies

The objective of the project is to understand the risks, uncertainties and co-effects related to different climate change mitigation pathways as well as public acceptance (or lack thereof) of low-carbon technology options.

Development of macroeconomic modelling methods: Incorporating ex-post heterogeneity to Dynamic Stochastic Generel Equlibrium Models

The aim of the project was to develop a novel mathematical method that will facilitate the introduction of heterogeneity of economic agents into otherwise standard macroeconomic general equilibrium models.

DYNAmic policy MIXes for absolute decoupling of environmental impact of EU resource use from economic growth

DYNAMIX aim was to identify dynamic and robust policy mixes that can lead to decoupling the environmental impact of EU resource use from economic growth.

MAPS Chile – Mitigation Action Plans Scenarios

MAPS was an international project whose aim was to establish scientific evidence to support the transition to robust, carbon efficient and climate resilient economies.

Consultancy services to develop a modeling framework for green growth policy analysis, including a large-scale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for Macedonia

The consulting work led to the construction of a comprehensive, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, which was an innovative tool in capturing the linkages between growth, adaptation to a changing climate, and climate change mitigation goals.

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