Tobacco prices significantly influence consumption levels. Over the past decade, they have been falling in relation to incomes and the prices of other products in Poland. We show how a new law implementing an increase in excise duty will affect cigarette smoking and the health of the Polish population.
The number of smokers and the level of cigarette consumption will decrease significantly compared to the status quo scenario. Increased excise duty on e-cigarette liquids will reduce their popularity among young people. The tangible benefit of raising excise duty is a significantly lower number of premature deaths.
The authors thank Hana Ross and Jan Rutkowski for their valuable comments.
This research was funded by The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw). Wiiw is a partner of the Bloomberg Philanthropies’ Initiative to Reduce Tobacco Use.
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Ustawa z dnia 18 października 2024 r. o zmianie ustawy o podatku akcyzowym
Stoklosa, M., Pogorzelczyk, K., Balwicki, Ł. (2022). Cigarette Price Increases, Advertising Ban, and Pictorial Warnings as Determinants of Youth Smoking Initiation in Poland. Nicotine & Tobacco Research
WHO (2023). 2022 Global Youth Tobacco Survey Fact Sheet.