Tobacco prices significantly influence consumption levels. Over the past decade in Poland, they have been falling in relation to incomes and the prices of other products. We show how a new proposal for an increase in excise duty will affect cigarette smoking and the health of the Polish popuation.
The number of smokers and the level of cigarette consumption will decrease significantly compared to the status quo scenario. An increase in excise duty on e-cigarette liquids will reduce their popularity among young people. The tangible benefit of raising the excise duty will be a significantly lower number of premature deaths.
The authors thank Hana Ross and Jan Rutkowski for their valuable comments.
This research was funded by The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw). Wiiw is a partner of the Bloomberg Philanthropies’ Initiative to Reduce Tobacco Use.